Is growth repeatable?
Compare quarterly and annual growth, organic and acquired growth, volume and price, and customer concentration. One contract or acquisition can distort a period.
A repeatable way to separate durable growth from growth that depends on weak margins, acquisition accounting, or heavy dilution.
Revenue growth alone says little about the economics of acquiring that growth. A company can expand sales while losing money on each additional customer, issuing stock faster than value per share grows, or buying revenue with debt. This framework looks for multi-period expansion accompanied by operating leverage, cash generation, and disciplined capital allocation.
A screen compares reported data; it cannot know whether future demand or margins will match expectations.
Compare quarterly and annual growth, organic and acquired growth, volume and price, and customer concentration. One contract or acquisition can distort a period.
Study gross and operating margin together. Gross-margin gains may be absorbed by sales, R&D, or administration costs.
Reconcile income with operating cash flow, then subtract necessary capital expenditure. Watch receivables and capitalized costs.
Compare diluted shares over time. Company-wide profit may rise while each shareholder's claim grows much more slowly.
A premium can be rational, but it leaves less room for slower growth, margin pressure, or higher interest rates.
Suppose both companies grew revenue 20%. Company A's operating margin rose from 12% to 15%, free cash flow stayed close to operating profit, and diluted shares increased 1%. Company B's margin fell from 4% to 1%, receivables grew much faster than sales, and diluted shares rose 9%. The headline growth is identical, but A produced stronger evidence that growth is creating per-share value.
| Measure | Useful question | Common trap |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR | Was growth sustained? | Low base or acquisition jump |
| Operating margin | Does scale help profitability? | Ignoring recurring stock compensation |
| Free-cash-flow margin | How much sales growth becomes cash? | Deferred investment mistaken for efficiency |
| Diluted EPS | Did value grow per share? | Looking only at total profit |
Use issuer filings and SEC EDGAR as primary sources.